Notes & methodology
Write-ups on what attention data can and can't tell us about markets, signal post-mortems, and how we think about building Orpail honestly.
What Is Galaxy Score? LunarCrush's Metrics, Explained Honestly
Galaxy Score and AltRank explained in plain English: what goes into LunarCrush's proprietary metrics, how traders read them, and what they can and cannot tell you.
Stocktwits Alternatives in 2026: An Honest Comparison
Looking for a Stocktwits alternative? What actually replaces it depends on the job: community, sentiment gauge or discovery feed. Reddit, X, Orpail, ApeWisdom and LunarCrush compared honestly.
LunarCrush vs Orpail: What Each Tool Actually Measures
LunarCrush vs Orpail compared honestly: composite social scores and APIs versus baseline-relative attention tracking. What each measures, costs, and who each fits.
LunarCrush Alternatives in 2026: An Honest Comparison
Looking for a LunarCrush alternative? An honest comparison of Orpail, ApeWisdom, Stocktwits, Santiment and free options, by focus, price and what each really measures.
Why Trending Tickers Are Often Misleading
Trending ticker lists are easy to read but easy to misunderstand. Raw mentions favour loud assets, miss baselines, and confuse echo chambers with broad market attention.
What $SPCX Taught Us About Market Attention
The SpaceX IPO became more than a listing. It became a market attention event. Here is what $SPCX shows about hype, breadth, velocity, and the modern attention layer around markets.
What Is Market Attention?
Market attention is the measurable concentration of public focus around an asset, sector, company, narrative, or event. Here is what it means, why it matters, and how it differs from sentiment.
Volume, Velocity and Breadth: The Three Attention Metrics That Matter
Raw mention counts are not enough. To understand social attention in markets, you need volume, velocity, and breadth together.
Market Attention vs Hype: How to Tell the Difference
Market attention and hype are not the same. Attention is measurable focus. Hype is an interpretation. Here is how to separate useful signal from crowded noise.
The Attention Lifecycle: Quiet, Rising, Crowded, Fading
Market attention moves through phases. Understanding the lifecycle helps separate early discovery from late-stage crowding and fading noise.
IPO Attention: Why Some Listings Become Market Events
Some IPOs quietly list. Others become market-wide attention events. Here is why IPO attention matters and how social discussion changes the way listings are watched.
How to Use Social Attention Without Treating It as Financial Advice
Social attention can help you ask better questions, but it should not make decisions for you. Here is a practical, honest workflow for using market attention safely.
Can Reddit Move Stocks? What the Data Actually Shows
Reddit can influence market attention, but it rarely moves stocks alone. The bigger signal is when Reddit discussion spreads into broader market attention.
How to Find Stocks and Crypto Gaining Attention on Social Media (2026)
A practical 2026 guide to spotting which stocks and crypto are gaining attention across social media, forums and news, and how to do it without getting fooled by hype.
Best Tools to Track Social Media Attention for Stocks and Crypto (2026)
An honest comparison of the main tools for tracking social media attention on stocks and crypto in 2026, what each one does well, and how to tell attention tracking apart from prediction.
Why We Don't Predict Prices
Most social tools promise to forecast the next move. We tested that promise ourselves and chose not to make it. Here is why honesty is the product at Orpail.
What Is Social Heat? A Plain-English Explainer
Social Heat is a 0 to 100 score for how much attention an asset is getting. Here is exactly what goes into it, what it means, and what it deliberately does not.
What GameStop Really Taught Us About Market Attention
The GameStop saga is misremembered as proof that social media predicts stocks. Here is what it actually demonstrated about market attention, and what it did not.
Social Sentiment and the Stock Market: What Actually Moves Price
A clear, honest guide to social sentiment and the stock market: what it is, whether it predicts prices, why attention matters more than mood, and how to read it.
How to Track Reddit and Social Mentions for Stocks
A practical guide to tracking Reddit and social mentions for stocks: what to watch, the manual methods and their limits, and how to read the signal without the hype.
Why Most AI Stock-Prediction Tools Sell You Noise
AI stock-prediction tools promise an edge from social data. Here is why most of that edge is noise dressed up as signal, and what an honest version looks like.
Does Social Media Sentiment Predict Stock Prices?
Can social media sentiment predict stock prices? Here is what the research actually shows, and why where attention goes may matter more than how the crowd feels.
Attention vs Sentiment: Why How Much Beats How Positive
Social sentiment is noisy and backward-looking. Attention, how much, how fast, how broadly something is discussed, is the cleaner market signal. Here is why.